'Building a Sustainable Welsh Food System' Part 3 - Economic & Social/Culture Impact Assessment of Agroecological Pathway Scenarios

Please read ITT word doc for full information.

Purpose and Scope of Work

WWF Cymru is seeking to build on a recently completed assessment of the biophysical capacity of food production in Wales to transition to a fully agroecological net zero pathway by 2050. This work consisted of the formulation of a computer model that projected the likely impact of a full agroecological shift on existing food production; the resultant impact on territorial and total greenhouse gas emissions/sequestration; and the potential to diversify production to better reflect Welsh nutritional needs .

To develop these results further, WWF Cymru now wishes to refine a series of scenarios (examples provided below) to allow the model to be rerun, and then to undertake a wider economic & social/cultural analysis of the results.

The aim of this work is to produce a series of assessed transition pathways that show both the likely impact on food production, carbon emissions/sequestration, and the obtainment of dietary needs; and the likely impact they would have if pursued on the rural Welsh economy and society out to 2050.

The results will be used to inform Welsh Government policy and the wider sustainable land management discourse in Wales to foster positive changes in agricultural support and wider rural investment.

Outputs: WWF Cymru requires the analysis to be presented in the form of a written report which contains the assessment for each scenario. These should be presented in a way which allows comparisons between each. We also require an additional non-technical summary report that is pitched towards public consumption. For this to work we expect it to include the use of infographics and other visual tools which present the results clearly, along with the policy steps which should be prioritised to achieve that scenario.