Development of Theory of Change for improving biodiversity in England

Government have agreed commitments to halt and reverse biodiversity loss by 2030 and beyond, supported by a variety of policy actions and incentives. As part of the Environment Bill, Government have agreed to at least one statutory long-term target for Biodiversity. This sits alongside the indicators included in the 25 Year Environment Plan related to 'Thriving Plants and Wildlife'. The setting of legally binding targets will provide a strong mechanism to deliver long-term environmental outcomes and the best way to deliver these targets is through a robust, evidence-led process that seeks independent expert advice and provides a role for stakeholders. Whilst targets are currently in the process of Ministerial sign off and public consultation there are gaps in the theory behind the delivery mechanisms that will result in achieving the ambitions.

Previously commissioned work outlined a high-level Theory of Change for a strategy for nature recovery looking at the actions and outcomes in relation to habitats and species, but it was not possible to develop a comprehensive theory of change at that time.

The requirement of the Provider is to further develop Defra's current Theory of Change (ToC), providing a comprehensive ToC for the legally binding biodiversity targets;